Israel inflation eases to 3.5% in September but stays above target

By Steven Scheer

JERUSALEM (Reuters) -Israel’s inflation rate eased in September for the first time in seven months, data from the Central Bureau of Statistics showed on Tuesday, but it likely will not be enough to entice policymakers to reduce interest rates anytime soon.

The annual inflation rate dipped to 3.5% last month after hitting a 10-month high of 3.6% in August. It was slightly below expectations of 3.7% in a Reuters poll but still far exceeds the government’s 1%-3% annual target range.

Government officials have largely blamed war-related supply issues for the spike in inflation from a 2.5% rate in February.

The consumer price index fell 0.2% in September from August led by lower costs for transport – airfares and fuel – entertainment, clothing and footwear, and fresh fruit. These were only partly offset by gains in prices of fresh vegetables, education and furniture.

The data come hours after the bureau said the economy grew a scant 0.3% annualised in the second quarter, according to a third estimate that was revised from a prior 0.7% as Israel’s war with the Palestinian militant group Hamas continues to weigh on growth.

On a per capita basis, the economy contracted 0.8% in the April-June quarter. The central bank last week lowered its economic growth estimate for 2024 to 0.5% from 1.5%.

After cutting its benchmark interest rate in January, the Bank of Israel has left it unchanged at subsequent meetings in February, April, May, July, August and September, citing geopolitical tensions, rising price pressures and looser fiscal policy due to Israel’s war with Hamas and Hezbollah in Lebanon.

It next decides on rates on Nov. 25. Israeli central bankers have warned of rate hikes should inflation remain high.

“Today’s (inflation) figure is far from one that would justify an interest rate hike in November,” said Mizrahi Tefahot chief strategist Yonie Fanning.