Tesla finds stability in energy as Rivian tests key resistance levels

Tesla’s profit mix is shifting toward its energy business, a trend one Seeking Alpha analysis argues supports a prudent buy-on-pullbacks stance at about a $1.63 trillion valuation.

At the same time, Rivian shares have rebounded sharply to $21.38, but now confront three stacked resistance levels that may define the next move.

According to Seeking Alpha analysis by Esxeleryn Analytics, Tesla’s energy segment has become the “primary profit engine,” helping decouple results from automotive cyclicality.

For Rivian, recent gains put the spotlight on technical checkpoints at $22.83, $24.86, and $28.05 that traders are watching closely.

Tesla’s energy segment is now the profit driver

The analysis contends Tesla’s premium valuation is anchored less in current electric vehicle fundamentals and more in long-term optionality across autonomy, energy, and AI infrastructure.

The energy unit’s 31.4% gross margin and rapid growth provide a financial buffer as automotive margins compress, according to Seeking Alpha.

The author frames Tesla as a prudent buy with a bias toward accumulating on technical pullbacks.

The thesis rests on the energy business leading profitability while the company invests in autonomy and AI, rather than relying solely on near-term vehicle margins.

Rivian’s rally meets layered resistance

Rivian, which focuses on adventure-oriented trucks and SUVs, has risen roughly 65% from a mid-December base around $12–13 to $21.38 after a 2.62% pullback today, according to the analysis.

The stock faces a “ladder-like” resistance structure that sets clear checkpoints for bulls and bears.

The first barrier is $22.83. A decisive move above it could open a run toward $24.86, a level the analysis calls a meaningful psychological marker.

The final resistance sits at $28.05, a level that would represent a roughly 32% gain from the current price and would likely confirm a broader reversal of the consolidation pattern.

The analysis notes some traders may look for entries on dips near $20–21 with stops below $19, while failure to clear $22.83 after multiple attempts could send shares back toward the mid-teens.

Volume trends could be decisive, with fading volume on rallies signaling waning interest.

What it means for EV investors

Tesla’s profit shift toward energy and its long-term autonomy and AI ambitions provide one path for value, while Rivian’s near-term setup hinges on converting resistance into support.

The common thread is clarity: investors can track specific Tesla operating metrics and Rivian price levels to gauge whether each story is strengthening or losing momentum.

EV investors face a fork: Tesla’s energy moat and AI bets justify holding through dips, potentially rewarding patience as Q4 energy deployments validate the shift.

Rivian bulls need $22.83 clearance with conviction volume to escape the range; otherwise, it’s back to $19 support tests.

Trump’s tariff wildcard looms over both, but Tesla’s diversification gives it resilience.

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